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Politique familiale : réforme d'une réforme ?

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  • Henri Sterdyniak

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

Au cours du cycle actuel, l'inflation connaît une évolution vraiment particulière se démarquant de son comportement traditionnel : alors que l'économie américaine est entrée dans sa huitième année de croissance et que le taux de chômage se situe depuis 3 ans maintenant en dessous de son niveau naturel, estimé à 5,8 % par le Congressional Budget Office (CBO), l'indice des prix à la consommation (CPI) affiche une progression exceptionnellement lente. Selon le CBO, le passage du PIB au-dessus de son potentiel et celui du taux de chômage en-deçà de son niveau « naturel » auraient dû provoquer une hausse de l'inflation de respectivement 0,3 et 0,7 point entre la fin 1994 et le début 1998(1). Or, elle a perdu près d'un point sur cette période (...).

Suggested Citation

  • Henri Sterdyniak, 1998. "Politique familiale : réforme d'une réforme ?," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458373, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03458373
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03458373
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