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France: Fin de l'échappée. Perspectives 2002-2003 pour l'économie française

Author

Listed:
  • Valérie Chauvin

    (Centre de recherche de la Banque de France - Banque de France)

  • Gaël Dupont

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Eric Heyer

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Mathieu Plane

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

Après trois années de forte croissance (3,6 % en moyenne de 1998 à 2000), la France a connu un premier ralentissement en 2001 (1,8 %) qui se prolongerait en 2002 (0,9 %). Pour 2003, l'économie française progressera de manière modérée, à des rythmes très proches de ceux anticipés dans la zone euro. La croissance pour l'année 2003 s'établirait à 1,8 % en moyenne annuelle. Elle resterait inférieure à la croissance potentielle, même en fin d'année. L'année 2003 verrait ainsi le retour à une croissance molle, conséquence directe de la purge sur les capacités de production, des incertitudes sur la politique monétaire, des contraintes sur la politique budgétaire et d'un environnement extérieur morose (...).

Suggested Citation

  • Valérie Chauvin & Gaël Dupont & Eric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2002. "France: Fin de l'échappée. Perspectives 2002-2003 pour l'économie française," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01073261, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-01073261
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.083.0175
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-01073261
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