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Scientific Isolation? The Consequences of Trump's China Initiative on Chinese Research

Author

Listed:
  • Philippe Aghion

    (CdF (institution) - Collège de France, INSEAD - Institut Européen d'administration des Affaires, LSE - London School of Economics and Political Science, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

  • Céline Antonin

    (Institut d'Études Politiques [IEP] - Paris, OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Luc Paluskiewicz

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

  • David Strömberg

    (Stockholm University)

  • Xueping Sun

    (Stanford University)

  • Raphaël Wargon

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

  • Karolina Westin

    (Stockholm University)

Abstract

The 2018 China Initiative by the Trump administration complicated procedures and reduced funding for U.S.‐China research collaborations. Using Scopus data, we analyze its impact on Chinese research. We find that it significantly lowered the quality of both publications and co‐authors of Chinese researchers with prior U.S. collaborations compared to those with prior European collaborations, and reduced yearly citations for affected researchers by 6%. The effect was stronger for high‐productivity Chinese researchers in U.S.‐dominated fields. While China is at the forefront of the scientific frontier, it still depends more on the U.S. than the reverse.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe Aghion & Céline Antonin & Luc Paluskiewicz & David Strömberg & Xueping Sun & Raphaël Wargon & Karolina Westin, 2026. "Scientific Isolation? The Consequences of Trump's China Initiative on Chinese Research," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-05837088, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-05837088
    DOI: 10.1111/iere.70107
    as

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