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Dynamics of bond markets during the EMU crisis : theoretical and empirical approaches in a portfolio theory framework

Author

Listed:
  • Franck Martin

    (CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management - UNICAEN - Université de Caen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - UR - Université de Rennes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jiangxingyun Zhang

    (CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management - UNICAEN - Université de Caen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - UR - Université de Rennes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper focuses on the dynamics of sovereign bonds rates during different phases of the debt crisis in the Eurozone. With a study period begins from January 2008 to January 2015 . Several important dates December 2009: Downgrading of Greek sovereign bond September 2012: Implementation of Outright Monetary Transaction (OMT), or "Draghi Put" January 2015 : Announcement of Quantitative Easing plan by European Central Bank We have the intuition that the evolution of sovereign bonds interest rates is not only guided by macroeconomic factors such as news on the solvability of each country (bond issuer) sustainability of the debt low inflation background. We believe that the dynamics of rates could also be related to rational behaviors (or not ?) on portfolio choices such as short run expected returns on bonds variance and covariance on these returns

Suggested Citation

  • Franck Martin & Jiangxingyun Zhang, 2015. "Dynamics of bond markets during the EMU crisis : theoretical and empirical approaches in a portfolio theory framework," Post-Print halshs-01184069, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01184069
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    Cited by:

    1. Franck Martin & Jiangxingyun Zhang, 2020. "La structure des taux revisitée pour période de crise : entre contagion, flight to quality et quantitative easing," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 71(4), pages 623-665.
    2. Franck Martin & Jiangxingyun Zhang, 2017. "Impact of QE on European sovereign bond market," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes 1 & University of Caen) 2017-04, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes 1, University of Caen and CNRS.

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