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Latent Flow Matching for Arbitrage-Aware Implied Volatility Surface Generation

Author

Listed:
  • Dusica Bajalica

    (Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres)

  • Oscar Brooks

    (Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, NYU - New York University [New York] - NYU - NYU System)

  • Imen Ben Tahar

    (CEREMADE - CEntre de REcherches en MAthématiques de la DEcision - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres)

  • Yating Liu

    (CEREMADE - CEntre de REcherches en MAthématiques de la DEcision - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres)

Abstract

We propose an arbitrage-aware latent flow-matching framework for unconditional implied volatility surface generation. The method first compresses high-dimensional surfaces into a low-dimensional latent space using a variational autoencoder regularized by differentiable calendar-spread, call-spread and butterfly-arbitrage penalties. A flow-matching model then learns to transport a Gaussian prior toward the empirical latent distribution, and generated latent samples are decoded back into volatility surfaces. We evaluate the approach using marginal and surface-level Wasserstein distances, smile and skew diagnostics, pointwise quantile surfaces, financially interpretable shape metrics, and static no-arbitrage tests. The proposed model closely reproduces the empirical distribution and the main maturity-moneyness structures, achieves the best performance in the extreme $Q_{99}$ regime, and generates $90.8\%$ of surfaces satisfying all tested static no-arbitrage conditions. Overall, the results show that latent flow matching provides a favorable balance between distributional similarity, tail preservation, and financial consistency without requiring post-sampling reweighting.

Suggested Citation

  • Dusica Bajalica & Oscar Brooks & Imen Ben Tahar & Yating Liu, 2026. "Latent Flow Matching for Arbitrage-Aware Implied Volatility Surface Generation," Post-Print hal-05804110, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05804110
    DOI: 10.1145/3858063.3858741
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05804110v1
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