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Nigéria : Le long chemin de la stabilisation au développement

Author

Listed:
  • Sylvain Bellefontaine

    (AFD - Agence française de développement)

Abstract

En 2023, l'administration Tinubu a hérité d'une situation économique délicate, le Nigéria étant entré dans la crise du Covid-19 encore marqué des stigmates du choc pétrolier de 2014. Les réformes adoptées et le rebond du secteur des hydrocarbures ont instillé un optimisme mesuré avec un faisceau de signaux positifs : stabilisation du naira, désinflation, rebond de l'activité, renforcement de la position extérieure. Cependant, dans un contexte social marqué par la pauvreté, des inégalités persistantes et une forte croissance démographique, le modèle économique demeure peu inclusif et les contraintes structurelles (faiblesse de l'investissement, déficit d'infrastructures, insécurité) sont limitantes. La rente pétro-gazière, bien que centrale, génère peu d'emplois, tandis que le dynamisme des services (notamment fintech et industries créatives) reste insuffisant pour entraîner l'ensemble de l'économie.

Suggested Citation

  • Sylvain Bellefontaine, 2026. "Nigéria : Le long chemin de la stabilisation au développement," Post-Print hal-05712480, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05712480
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05712480v1
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