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B_ Mimetic Conjuncture of Supply and Demand: A Crowd-Based Dynamics Interpretation of Financial Market Regimes

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  • Wilson John Sterking Lauret

    (Chercheur indépendant)

Abstract

This paper introduces the concept of Mimetic Supply–Demand Conjuncture as a structural interpretation of financial market dynamics within the Crowd-Based Dynamics (CBD) framework. In contrast to classical economic models that interpret markets through equilibrium mechanisms between supply and demand, the CBD approach considers financial markets as adaptive collective systems in which price trajectories emerge from behavioral interactions among participants. Within this perspective, demand constitutes the initiating force of market movement, while supply emerges as the temporal projection of accumulated demand. Market dynamics are structured by the interaction between two complementary divergence mechanisms: continuation divergences (Dc), which describe the structural direction of market trends, and rolling divergences (Dr), which regulate short-term fluctuations within dominant regimes. The intensity of mimetic dynamics results from the interaction between collective emotional activation and mimetic memory, generating phases of expansion, saturation, and regime transition. The paper presents the theoretical foundations of this approach, its structural formalization within the canonical CBD architecture, and its empirical interpretation through observable market indicators such as RSI, MACD, and trading volumes. The Mimetic Supply–Demand Conjuncture should be interpreted as a structural law describing the behavioral dynamics of market regimes within collective systems, rather than as a deterministic price prediction model.

Suggested Citation

  • Wilson John Sterking Lauret, 2026. "B_ Mimetic Conjuncture of Supply and Demand: A Crowd-Based Dynamics Interpretation of Financial Market Regimes," Post-Print hal-05541840, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05541840
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18907295
    as

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