IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-05455990.html

Fed's Policy Changes and Inflation in Emerging Markets: Lessons from the Taper Tantrum

Author

Listed:
  • Antonia López-Villavicencio

    (GATE Lyon Saint-Étienne - Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon - Saint-Etienne - ENS de Lyon - École normale supérieure de Lyon - Université de Lyon - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - UJM - Université Jean Monnet - Saint-Étienne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Marc Pourroy

    (CRIEF [Poitiers] - Centre de recherche sur l'intégration économique et financière [EA 2249] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers)

Abstract

We use the taper tantrum to measure the effects of a sudden depreciation of the exchange rate. We treat this announcement in the United States of America as an exogenous shock in emerging markets and use a difference‐in‐differences approach. We show that, before the tantrum, the impact of exchange rate changes on inflation is low in both the control and the treatment groups. However, the tantrum increased the gap between groups and impacted inflation regardless of the exchange rate regime or central bank practices. Nevertheless, inflation in economies with flexible exchange rate, inflation target, or highly credible central bank is less exposed to depreciations.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonia López-Villavicencio & Marc Pourroy, 2022. "Fed's Policy Changes and Inflation in Emerging Markets: Lessons from the Taper Tantrum," Post-Print hal-05455990, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05455990
    DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12803
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05455990v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-05455990v1/document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/jmcb.12803?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05455990. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.