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RETRAIT DES PAYS DE L'AES DE LA CEDEAO : Analyse théorique des conséquences macroéconomiques

Author

Listed:
  • Etienne Fakaba Sissoko

    (Université des sciences sociales et de gestion de Bamako - USSGB - Université des sciences sociales et de gestion de Bamako, CRAPES MALI - Centre de Recherche et d'Analyses Politiques, Economiques et Sociales du Mali, Faculté des Sciences économiques et de Gestion - USSGB - Université des sciences sociales et de gestion de Bamako)

Abstract

This study examines the theoretical economic, political, and social consequences of the withdrawal of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) countries—Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger—from ECOWAS. Using a mixed-methods approach, we combined quantitative analysis through Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models, the Solow–Swan model, and Keynesian theory, with qualitative research including 30 expert interviews. Our findings reveal that the withdrawal has had negative impacts on trade, investment, and aggregate demand in these countries, exacerbating existing economic and social challenges. Despite signs of resilience in certain sectors, such as gold mining and telecommunications in Mali, political uncertainties and economic sanctions continue to weigh heavily. This study contributes to the literature by providing an in-depth analysis of the macroeconomic and socio-political repercussions of ECOWAS withdrawal, highlighting the challenges and opportunities for economic policy and governance in the Sahel region.

Suggested Citation

  • Etienne Fakaba Sissoko, 2024. "RETRAIT DES PAYS DE L'AES DE LA CEDEAO : Analyse théorique des conséquences macroéconomiques," Post-Print hal-05205695, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05205695
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.10877864
    as

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