IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-02611227.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Bounding Basis-Risk Using s-convex Orders on Beta-unimodal Distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Claude Lefèvre

    (ULB - Département de Mathématique [Bruxelles] - ULB - Faculté des Sciences [Bruxelles] - ULB - Université libre de Bruxelles)

  • Stéphane Loisel

    (SAF - Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon)

  • Pierre Montesinos

    (SAF - Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon)

Abstract

This paper is concerned with properties of Beta-unimodal distributions and their use to assess the basis risk inherent to index-based insurance or reinsurance contracts. To this extent, we first characterize s-convex stochastic orders for Beta-unimodal distributions in terms of the Weyl fractional integral. We then determine s-convex extrema for such distributions , focusing in particular on the cases s = 2, 3, 4. Next, we define an Enterprise Risk Management framework that relies on Beta-unimodality to assess these hedge imperfections , introducing several penalty functions and worst case scenarios. Some of the results obtained are illustrated numerically via a representative catastrophe model.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Claude Lefèvre & Stéphane Loisel & Pierre Montesinos, 2020. "Bounding Basis-Risk Using s-convex Orders on Beta-unimodal Distributions," Post-Print hal-02611227, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02611227
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Linda L. Golden & Mulong Wang & Chuanhou Yang, 2007. "Handling Weather Related Risks Through the Financial Markets: Considerations of Credit Risk, Basis Risk, and Hedging," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 74(2), pages 319-346, June.
    2. Cline, D. B. H. & Samorodnitsky, G., 1994. "Subexponentiality of the product of independent random variables," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 75-98, January.
    3. Kazushi Takahashi & Christopher B Barrett & Munenobu Ikegami, 2019. "Does Index Insurance Crowd In or Crowd Out Informal Risk Sharing? Evidence from Rural Ethiopia," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(3), pages 672-691.
    4. Jensen, Nathaniel D. & Mude, Andrew G. & Barrett, Christopher B., 2018. "How basis risk and spatiotemporal adverse selection influence demand for index insurance: Evidence from northern Kenya," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 172-198.
    5. Kaas, R & Goovaerts, M, 1985. "Bounds On Distribution Functions Under Integral Constraints," University of Amsterdam, Actuarial Science and Econometrics Archive 293091, University of Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics and Business.
    6. Claude Lefèvre & Stéphane Loisel, 2013. "On multiply monotone distributions, continuous or discrete, with applications," Post-Print hal-00750562, HAL.
    7. De Vylder, F. & Goovaerts, M. J., 1982. "Analytical best upper bounds on stop-loss premiums," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 163-175, July.
    8. Hélène Cossette & Thierry Duchesne & Étienne Marceau, 2003. "Modeling Catastrophes and their Impact on Insurance Portfolios," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 1-22.
    9. Enkelejd Hashorva & Lanpeng Ji, 2014. "Random Shifting and Scaling of Insurance Risks," Risks, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-12, July.
    10. Alexandru V. Asimit & Raluca Vernic & Ricardas Zitikis, 2016. "Background Risk Models and Stepwise Portfolio Construction," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 805-827, September.
    11. J. David Cummins & Mary A. Weiss, 2009. "Convergence of Insurance and Financial Markets: Hybrid and Securitized Risk‐Transfer Solutions," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 493-545, September.
    12. De Vylder, F., 1982. "Best upper bounds for integrals with respect to measures allowed to vary under conical and integral constraints," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 109-130, April.
    13. Robert L. Winkler & Gary M. Roodman & Robert R. Britney, 1972. "The Determination of Partial Moments," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(3), pages 290-296, November.
    14. Côté, Marie-Pier & Genest, Christian, 2019. "Dependence in a background risk model," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 28-46.
    15. De Vylder, F., 1983. "Maximization, under equality constraints, of a functional of a probability distribution," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-16, January.
    16. Kaas, R. & Goovaerts, M. J., 1986. "Best bounds for positive distributions with fixed moments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 87-92, January.
    17. Cassandra R. Cole & Kathleen A. McCullough, 2006. "A Reexamination of the Corporate Demand for Reinsurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 73(1), pages 169-192, March.
    18. Denuit, Michel, 1999. "The Exponential Premium Calculation Principle Revisited," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(2), pages 215-226, November.
    19. Anne Gron, 1999. "Insurer Demand for Catastrophe Reinsurance," NBER Chapters, in: The Financing of Catastrophe Risk, pages 23-50, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Hashorva, Enkelejd, 2003. "On the number of near-maximum insurance claim under dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 37-49, February.
    21. Chi, Yichun & Yang, Jingping & Qi, Yongcheng, 2009. "Decomposition of a Schur-constant model and its applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 398-408, June.
    22. Enkelejd Hashorva & Anthony G. Pakes & Qihe Tang, 2010. "Asymptotics of Random Contractions," Papers 1008.0126, arXiv.org.
    23. Constantinescu, Corina & Hashorva, Enkelejd & Ji, Lanpeng, 2011. "Archimedean copulas in finite and infinite dimensions—with application to ruin problems," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 487-495.
    24. Ghada Elabed & Marc F. Bellemare & Michael R. Carter & Catherine Guirkinger, 2013. "Managing basis risk with multiscale index insurance," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 44(4-5), pages 419-431, July.
    25. Hashorva, Enkelejd & Pakes, Anthony G. & Tang, Qihe, 2010. "Asymptotics of random contractions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 405-414, December.
    26. Denuit, Michel & Vylder, Etienne De & Lefevre, Claude, 1999. "Extremal generators and extremal distributions for the continuous s-convex stochastic orderings," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 201-217, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hansjörg Albrecher & José Carlos Araujo-Acuna, 2022. "On The Randomized Schmitter Problem," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 515-535, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mercè Claramunt, M. & Lefèvre, Claude & Loisel, Stéphane & Montesinos, Pierre, 2022. "Basis risk management and randomly scaled uncertainty," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 123-139.
    2. Hansjörg Albrecher & José Carlos Araujo-Acuna, 2022. "On The Randomized Schmitter Problem," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 515-535, June.
    3. Denuit, Michel & Vylder, Etienne De & Lefevre, Claude, 1999. "Extremal generators and extremal distributions for the continuous s-convex stochastic orderings," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 201-217, May.
    4. Wong, Man Hong & Zhang, Shuzhong, 2013. "Computing best bounds for nonlinear risk measures with partial information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 204-212.
    5. Jing Liu & Huan Zhang, 2017. "Asymptotic Estimates for the One-Year Ruin Probability under Risky Investments," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-11, May.
    6. Goovaerts, Marc J. & Kaas, Rob & Laeven, Roger J.A., 2011. "Worst case risk measurement: Back to the future?," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 380-392.
    7. Yang, Yingying & Hu, Shuhe & Wu, Tao, 2011. "The tail probability of the product of dependent random variables from max-domains of attraction," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(12), pages 1876-1882.
    8. Yang, Yang & Hashorva, Enkelejd, 2013. "Extremes and products of multivariate AC-product risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 312-319.
    9. Benjamin L. Collier, 2020. "Strengthening Local Credit Markets Through Lender‐Level Index Insurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 87(2), pages 319-349, June.
    10. Castañer, A. & Claramunt, M.M. & Lefèvre, C. & Loisel, S., 2015. "Discrete Schur-constant models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 343-362.
    11. Chen, Yiqing & Liu, Jiajun & Liu, Fei, 2015. "Ruin with insurance and financial risks following the least risky FGM dependence structure," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 98-106.
    12. N. Balakrishnan & A. Stepanov, 2014. "On the Use of Bivariate Mellin Transform in Bivariate Random Scaling and Some Applications," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 235-244, March.
    13. Qu, Zhihui & Chen, Yu, 2013. "Approximations of the tail probability of the product of dependent extremal random variables and applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 169-178.
    14. Castañer, Anna & Claramunt, M. Mercè & Lefèvre, Claude & Loisel, Stéphane, 2019. "Partially Schur-constant models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 47-58.
    15. Castañer, A. & Claramunt, M.M. & Lefèvre, C. & Loisel, S., 2015. "Discrete Schur-constant models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 343-362.
    16. Claude Lefèvre & Matthieu Simon, 2021. "Schur-Constant and Related Dependence Models, with Application to Ruin Probabilities," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 317-339, March.
    17. Quentin Stoeffler & Michael Carter & Catherine Guirkinger & Wouter Gelade, 2022. "The Spillover Impact of Index Insurance on Agricultural Investment by Cotton Farmers in Burkina Faso," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 36(1), pages 114-140.
    18. Takahashi, Kazushi & Noritomo, Yuma & Ikegami, Munenobu & Jensen, Nathaniel D., 2020. "Understanding pastoralists’ dynamic insurance uptake decisions: Evidence from four-year panel data in Ethiopia," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    19. Tang, Qihe & Yang, Fan, 2012. "On the Haezendonck–Goovaerts risk measure for extreme risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 217-227.
    20. Constantinescu, Corina & Hashorva, Enkelejd & Ji, Lanpeng, 2011. "Archimedean copulas in finite and infinite dimensions—with application to ruin problems," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 487-495.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02611227. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.