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Drowned by numbers? Stabilization properties of an EU-wide unemployment insurance system

Author

Listed:
  • Etienne Farvaque

    (LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Florence Huart

    (EQUIPPE - Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie - Université de Lille, Sciences et Technologies - Université de Lille, Sciences Humaines et Sociales - PRES Université Lille Nord de France - Université de Lille, Droit et Santé)

Abstract

The recent crisis has given rise to proposals for the creation of a European unemployment insurance system. We simulate an EU-wide mechanism under various scenarios, varying methods of financing (common or country-specific contribution rates) and triggers for pay-outs (all time or contingent clauses). We analyse the impact of the system using different measures of stabilization under different fiscal multipliers. A system operating during bad times (periods where the increase in unemployment is large) would reduce GDP growth variability but also growth correlation among member countries. Hence, there is a trade-off between stabilization and synchronization of national business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Etienne Farvaque & Florence Huart, 2018. "Drowned by numbers? Stabilization properties of an EU-wide unemployment insurance system," Post-Print hal-02506028, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02506028
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441517
    as

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