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Moment-Based Tests under Parameter Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Bontemps

    (TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile)

Abstract

This paper considers moment-based tests applied to estimated quantities. We propose a general class of transforms of moments to handle the parameter uncertainty problem. The construction requires only a linear correction that can be implemented in sample and remains valid for some extended families of nonsmooth moments. We reemphasize the attractiveness of working with robust moments, which lead to testing procedures that do not depend on the estimator. Furthermore, no correction is needed when considering the implied test statistic in the out-of-sample case. We apply our methodology to various examples with an emphasis on the backtesting of value-at-risk forecasts.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Bontemps, 2019. "Moment-Based Tests under Parameter Uncertainty," Post-Print hal-02004687, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02004687
    DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00745
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    Cited by:

    1. Sullivan Hu'e & Christophe Hurlin & Yang Lu, 2024. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for both duration and severity with bivariate orthogonal polynomials," Papers 2405.02012, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    2. Lu Lin & Feng Li, 2023. "Global debiased DC estimations for biased estimators via pro forma regression," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 32(2), pages 726-758, June.
    3. Peter Horvath & Jia Li & Zhipeng Liao & Andrew J. Patton, 2022. "A consistent specification test for dynamic quantile models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), pages 125-151, January.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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