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Testing the inflation rates in MENA countries: Evidence from quantile regression approach and seasonal unit root test

Author

Listed:
  • Süleyman Bolat

    (Aksaray University)

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari

    (MRM - Montpellier Research in Management - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - UPVD - Université de Perpignan Via Domitia - Groupe Sup de Co Montpellier (GSCM) - Montpellier Business School - UM - Université de Montpellier)

  • Phouphet Kyophilavong

    (National University of Laos)

Abstract

We investigate the dynamic behavior and seasonal property (with regime shift) of inflation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. Our investigation uses the quantile regression approach developed by Koenker and Xiao (2004) and the newly developed seasonal unit root test of Narayan and Popp (2011) respectively. Our empirical results show that the inflation rates are not mean-reverting, and they show the asymmetries in their dynamic adjustment. Further, we find a seasonal unit root does not exist in the inflation rate for any country in this study. This finding implies that shocks do not have lasting effects on the inflation rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Süleyman Bolat & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2017. "Testing the inflation rates in MENA countries: Evidence from quantile regression approach and seasonal unit root test," Post-Print hal-02000695, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02000695
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.043
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    Cited by:

    1. Zakaria Yakubu & Nanthakumar Loganathan & Tirta Nugraha Mursitama & Abbas Mardani & Syed Abdul Rehman Khan & Asan Ali Golam Hassan, 2020. "Financial Liberalisation, Political Stability, and Economic Determinants of Real Economic Growth in Kenya," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-16, July.

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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