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L’impact de la démographie sur les importations de Mayotte

Author

Listed:
  • Fabien Candau

    (CATT - Centre d'Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données économiques - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour)

  • Serge Rey

    (CATT - Centre d'Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données économiques - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour)

Abstract

Imports of Mayotte were multiplied by 8 over the last twenty years, widening the trade deficit of the island. At the same time the population of Mayotte has more than doubled. This article proposes to study the contribution of the growth of this population in the increase in imports over the period 2000-2010. The estimation of a micro-gravity equation based on a model with non-homothetic preferences can show that an increase of 1% of the total population leads to an increase of 1.23% of imports. In comparison, an increase of the population minus the illegal population impact imports by 0.46%.Classification JEL : C23, F14, F15

Suggested Citation

  • Fabien Candau & Serge Rey, 2015. "L’impact de la démographie sur les importations de Mayotte," Post-Print hal-01844374, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01844374
    DOI: 10.3917/reco.pr2.0046
    as

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    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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