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Envisioning the future of territories to tackle demographic and employment challenges in sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Michel Sourisseau

    (UMR ART-Dev - Acteurs, Ressources et Territoires dans le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - UPVD - Université de Perpignan Via Domitia - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Nathalie Bougnoux

    (AFD - Agence française de développement)

  • Jean-François Belieres

    (UMR ART-Dev - Acteurs, Ressources et Territoires dans le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - UPVD - Université de Perpignan Via Domitia - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Robin Bourgeois

    (UMR ART-Dev - Acteurs, Ressources et Territoires dans le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - UPVD - Université de Perpignan Via Domitia - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Mamy Soumaré

    (IER - Institut d'Economie Rurale - Mali - institut Economie)

  • Patrick Rasolofo

    (IISS - Institut international des sciences sociales [Antananarivo])

Abstract

In sub-Saharan Africa, the magnitude of the demographic challenge implies anticipating targets to be reached within the time horizon of the next generation, in all sectors of activity. We propose an operational methodology that can be implemented by policymakers and actors in rural territories to envision the future and to prepare their development strategy. This territorial foresight methodology combines an analysis of past local dynamics, a 20-year population projection and a participatory foresight process. It enables collective thinking on sustainable paths and provides a framework for monitoring and steering public territorial action.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Michel Sourisseau & Nathalie Bougnoux & Jean-François Belieres & Robin Bourgeois & Mamy Soumaré & Patrick Rasolofo, 2017. "Envisioning the future of territories to tackle demographic and employment challenges in sub-Saharan Africa," Post-Print hal-01666380, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01666380
    DOI: 10.19182/agritrop/00004
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01666380
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    Keywords

    foresight; decentralisation; Public policy; local actors; scenario; agriculture; population projection; local governance; Mali; Madagascar;
    All these keywords.

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