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The frequency of banking crises in a dynamic setting: a discrete-time duration approach

Author

Listed:
  • Vincent Bouvatier

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper focuses on descriptive features of banking crises. More than two centuries of banking crises are considered, and a discrete-time duration model is estimated to identify the hazard function characterizing banking crises. The model makes it possible to identify a time-dependence effect in the occurrence of banking crises. The time dependence that emerges from the hazard function is potentially generated by a wide variety of structural and cyclical factors. In this paper, the hazard function serves a descriptive purpose and provides two insights into the frequency of banking crises. First, it shows the extent to which policymakers failed in muting the exposure to a new banking crisis during the two decades following a banking crisis. Second, it provides quantitative evidence that graduation from banking crises is elusive.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Vincent Bouvatier, 2017. "The frequency of banking crises in a dynamic setting: a discrete-time duration approach," Post-Print hal-01549788, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01549788
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    Cited by:

    1. Jakubik, Petr & Moinescu, Bogdan Gabriel, 2025. "Tailored microprudential recommendations for bank profit retention using a risk tolerance framework," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    2. Eberhardt, Markus & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2021. "Commodity prices and banking crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Jakubik, Petr & Moinescu, Bogdan Gabriel, 2025. "Where to draw the line in prudential policy? Insights into banking stability and risk tolerance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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