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Les promesses de l'ombre : scénarios 2008-2009 pour l'économie mondiale

Author

Listed:
  • Christine Rifflart

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Hervé Péléraux

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Mathieu Plane

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Xavier Timbeau

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Christophe Blot

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Frédéric Reynès

    (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Eric Heyer

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Marion Cochard

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Matthieu Lemoine

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Paola Veroni

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Amel Falah

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

  • Sabine Le Bayon

    () (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

Abstract

Partie des subprime, la crise financière a atteint les banques, puis de proche en proche l'ensemble des actifs financiers qui subissent de lourdes dépréciations. La transmission de ces désordres à l'économie non financière est enclenchée et le risque de récession est important. Les scénarios de croissance mettent en oeuvre des mécanismes inhabituels dont il est difficile de quantifier les enchaînements. Dans ces circonstances exceptionnelles, nous présentons deux scénarios attachés chacun au degré de gravité des tensions financières (...).

Suggested Citation

  • Christine Rifflart & Hervé Péléraux & Mathieu Plane & Xavier Timbeau & Christophe Blot & Frédéric Reynès & Eric Heyer & Marion Cochard & Matthieu Lemoine & Paola Veroni & Amel Falah & Sabine Le Bayon, 2008. "Les promesses de l'ombre : scénarios 2008-2009 pour l'économie mondiale," Post-Print hal-01052784, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01052784
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01052784
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    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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