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Retraites : le diable est dans les détails

Listed author(s):
  • Henri Sterdyniak

    ()

    (OFCE - OFCE - Sciences Po)

Tous les hommes politiques en sont d'accord : la question des retraites sera parmi les premières que le gouvernement issu des élections du printemps 2002 devra traiter. Le temps est compté : c'est à partir de 2006 que les babyboomers commenceront à prendre leur retraite, donc que le ratio retraités/actifs augmentera. À moyen terme, joueront à plein l'allongement de la durée de vie et la stabilisation démographique. Même dans un scénario favorable (retour au plein emploi, hausse des taux d'activité), la part des retraites dans le PIB devrait passer de 12,6 % en 2000 à 18 % en 2040, pour maintenir la retraite à 60 ans et le rapport actuel entre retraite moyenne et salaire moyen. La France doit choisir clairement une stratégie à long terme pour garantir l'avenir de ses retraites (...).

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File URL: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01017890/document
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Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number hal-01017890.

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Date of creation: 11 Apr 2002
Publication status: Published in Lettre de l'OFCE, Paris : Presses de la Fondation nationale des sciences politiques devenu Presses de Sciences-Po, 2002, pp.1-4
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01017890
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01017890
Contact details of provider: Web page: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/

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