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Do macroeconomic fundamentals affect exchange market pressure? Evidence from bounds testing approach for Turkey

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  • Katircioglu, Salih Turan
  • Feridun, Mete

Abstract

This article investigates the relationship between Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) and macroeconomic fundamentals in Turkey using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) within the framework of the canonical currency crisis models. The results of the bounds tests suggest the existence of a level relationship between EMP and the selected macroeconomic fundamentals. The results of the VECM also suggest that there exists a unidirectional causation that runs from those macroeconomic fundamentals to EMP in the case of the Turkish Economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Katircioglu, Salih Turan & Feridun, Mete, 2010. "Do macroeconomic fundamentals affect exchange market pressure? Evidence from bounds testing approach for Turkey," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 7916, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:gpe:wpaper:7916
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    Cited by:

    1. Ammar Hamad Khalaf, 2018. "Foreign Exchange Market Pressure Index And Monetary Policy In Iraq," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 63(219), pages 61-82, October –.
    2. Bassam AbuAl-Foul, "undated". "The Causal Relation between Savings and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis," Economics Working Papers 06-05/2015, School of Business Administration, American University of Sharjah.
    3. Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Hasan Güngör, 2019. "Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Exchange Market Pressure," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(3), pages 21582440198, September.

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