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Diagnóstico, retos y oportunidades para México en el segundo gobierno de Donald Trump

Author

Listed:
  • Diego Ascarza

    (School of Government and Public Transformation, Tecnológico de Monterrey)

  • Edgardo Ayala

    (Economy Faculty, UANL)

  • Fausto Hernández

    (CIDE, División Economía)

  • Armando Sánchez

    (IIE, UNAM)

  • Horacio Sobarzo

    (CEE, Colegio de México)

  • Héctor J. Villarreal

    (School of Government and Public Transformation, Tecnológico de Monterrey)

Abstract

Este trabajo analiza los riesgos y oportunidades para México ante el segundo gobierno de Donald Trump. Examina la vulnerabilidad del país frente a aranceles, cambios en remesas y tensiones comerciales con Estados Unidos, y muestra que los efectos serían desiguales por sector y región. El estudio destaca que la protección del T-MEC será clave para amortiguar impactos sobre empleo, exportaciones y actividad económica.

Suggested Citation

  • Diego Ascarza & Edgardo Ayala & Fausto Hernández & Armando Sánchez & Horacio Sobarzo & Héctor J. Villarreal, 2026. "Diagnóstico, retos y oportunidades para México en el segundo gobierno de Donald Trump," Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation 29, School of Government and Public Transformation, Tecnológico de Monterrey.
    • Handle: RePEc:gnt:wpaper:29
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    File URL: https://egobiernoytp.tec.mx/sites/default/files/2026-03/diagnostico_retos_oportunidades_para_mexico_segundo_gobierno_donald_trump.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2026
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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