IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ger/dtrabj/003.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Evaluación del impacto económico de las interrupciones en el transporte de gas natural en el Perú

Author

Listed:
  • Vásquez Cordano, Arturo Leonardo

Abstract

Se muestra, a partir de los resultados de un análisis de equilibrio general computable (CGE), el impacto en la economía peruana que tienen las interrupciones del suministro de gas natural por potenciales restricciones en el sistema de transporte del proyecto Camisea situado en la región del Cusco, Perú. Mediante un ejercicio de simulación utilizando un modelo CGE, se estima que el valor social para la economía peruana debido a la interrupción de un día en el suministro de gas natural asciende, en el escenario base, a US$ 335 millones, lo que equivale a 0.21% del PBI peruano en términos reales. En un escenario catastrófico de suspensión del suministro de gas natural de tres meses, las pérdidas sociales podrían ascender a más de US$ 30,000 millones, lo que equivale aproximadamente a 19% del PBI peruano. Al final del documento, se discuten algunas recomendaciones de política para atenuar los impactos de los cortes de suministro de gas natural en el Perú.

Suggested Citation

  • Vásquez Cordano, Arturo Leonardo, 2019. "Evaluación del impacto económico de las interrupciones en el transporte de gas natural en el Perú," Documentos de Trabajo 003, Escuela de Postgrado GERENS.
    • Handle: RePEc:ger:dtrabj:003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repositorio.gerens.edu.pe/handle/Gerens/52
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gas Natural Licuado; Actividades Extractivas; Proyecto Camisea; Perú; GLP; renewable resources; Disasters; gas pipeline constraints; computable general equilibrium (CGE); Peru; Camisea; economic impact evaluation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • L95 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Gas Utilities; Pipelines; Water Utilities
    • Q35 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Hydrocarbon Resources
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ger:dtrabj:003. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Claudia Castillo (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gerenpe.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.