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What do we know about the future of agriculture in Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay? The Mercosur Outlook

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Listed:
  • Jorge, Nicolás
  • Campos, Silvia Kanadani
  • Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo
  • da Pereira, Vanessa da Fonseca
  • Masaro, Jimena Vicentin
  • Peri, Graciela Isabel
  • Piñeiro, Valeria

Abstract

This report constitutes a long-term vision for key variables of the agricultural sector in the Mercosur countries- Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay (or ABPU, with both terms used interchangeably). The objective is not to forecast the sector’s future but to serve as a reference tool, considering long-term drivers. This study addresses the question: what will happen to relevant agricultural variables over the next decade if current trends persist? Although based on a quantitative model, the results are not merely model outputs; they undergo a thorough revision process with experts from each country. The outcomes are also conditional on specific assumptions, including macroeconomic conditions, government policies, weather, international agreements, and other influencing factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge, Nicolás & Campos, Silvia Kanadani & Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo & da Pereira, Vanessa da Fonseca & Masaro, Jimena Vicentin & Peri, Graciela Isabel & Piñeiro, Valeria, 2025. "What do we know about the future of agriculture in Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay? The Mercosur Outlook," LAC working papers 39, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:lacwps:176398
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176398
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