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Rainfall and economic growth and poverty: Evidence from Senegal and Burkina Faso

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  • Cabral, Joseph François

Abstract

This paper assesses the effects of rainfall shocks on poverty in Burkina Faso and Senegal using a computable general equilibrium model. An index quantifying effects of rainfall fluctuations shows that, due to a predicted increase in annual rainfall, Senegal will experience a decline in poverty, while Burkina Faso will experience an increase in its poverty rate in conjunction with a trend of declining rainfall. The implementation of mitigating policies in Burkina Faso can affect the rate of increase in poverty, but future rainfall trends are expected to have positive effects on poverty in Senegal and negative effects in Burkina Faso.

Suggested Citation

  • Cabral, Joseph François, 2014. "Rainfall and economic growth and poverty: Evidence from Senegal and Burkina Faso," AGRODEP working papers 8, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:agrowp:8
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    File URL: https://www.ifpri.org/cdmref/p15738coll2/id/128934/filename/129145.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Diagne, Youssoupha Sakrya & Thiam, Dame, 2020. "La résilience de l'économie sénégalaise : Quelles politiques publiques en réponses aux chocs exogènes? [Resillience of the senegalese economy; What policy responses to exogenous shocks?]," MPRA Paper 114018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Md Mazharul Islam & Majed Alharthi & Md Wahid Murad, 2021. "The effects of carbon emissions, rainfall, temperature, inflation, population, and unemployment on economic growth in Saudi Arabia: An ARDL investigation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-21, April.
    3. J. N. Okpara & K. O. Ogunjobi & E. A. Adefisan, 2022. "Developing objective dry spell and drought triggers for drought monitoring in the Niger Basin of West Africa," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(3), pages 2465-2492, July.
    4. Siriklao Sangkhaphan & Yang Shu, 2019. "The Effect of Rainfall on Economic Growth in Thailand: A Blessing for Poor Provinces," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    SENEGAL; BURKINA FASO; WEST AFRICA; AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA; AFRICA; rainfall; economic growth; Poverty; Agricultural policies; Water; Climate change; Agriculture; Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model; resilience; weather shocks; D58 Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models

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