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Understanding the “Swoosh”-Shaped Yield Curve for Treasuries

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  • Julian Kozlowski
  • Nicholas Sullivan

Abstract

An analysis of the yield curve for Treasuries suggests that while the market sees a gradual decline in short-term interest rates, it also expects rates to rise in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Julian Kozlowski & Nicholas Sullivan, 2025. "Understanding the “Swoosh”-Shaped Yield Curve for Treasuries," On the Economy 101909, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:l00001:101909
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    File URL: https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2025/oct/understanding-swoosh-shaped-yield-curve-treasuries
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