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Explaining the Puzzling Behavior of Short-Term Money Market Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Antoine Martin
  • James J. McAndrews
  • Ali Palida
  • David R. Skeie

Abstract

Since 2008, the Federal Reserve has dramatically increased the supply of bank reserves, effectively adopting a floor system for monetary policy implementation. Since then, the behavior of short-term money market rates has been at times puzzling. In particular, short-term rates have been surprisingly firm in recent months, despite the large increase in reserves by the Fed as a part of its response to the coronavirus pandemic. In this post, we provide evidence that both the supply of reserves and the supply of short-term Treasury securities are important factors for explaining short-term rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine Martin & James J. McAndrews & Ali Palida & David R. Skeie, 2020. "Explaining the Puzzling Behavior of Short-Term Money Market Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20200824, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:88622
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fed Funds; Treasury; Federal Reserve; liquidity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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