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Mixed Impacts of the Federal Tax Reform on Consumer Expectations

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Abstract

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 changed the tax brackets, tax rates, credits and deductions for individuals and similarly altered corporate tax rates, deductions and exclusions. In this post, we examine whether the reform has shifted individuals’ expectations about their financial situation and the macroeconomic outlook. We also ask whether households have already started to adjust their behavior in line with their expectations. In order to answer these questions, we use novel data from a special module of the New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) fielded in February 2018 to a nationally representative sample of heads of households.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Armantier & John Conlon & Gizem Koşar & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2018. "Mixed Impacts of the Federal Tax Reform on Consumer Expectations," Liberty Street Economics 20180523, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:87259
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    Keywords

    tax reform; consumer expectations;

    JEL classification:

    • D13 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Production and Intrahouse Allocation
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies

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