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Who Is Paying for the 2025 U.S. Tariffs?

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Abstract

Over the course of 2025, the average tariff rate on U.S. imports increased from 2.6 to 13 percent. In this blog post, we ask how much of the tariffs were paid by the U.S., using import data through November 2025. We find that nearly 90 percent of the tariffs’ economic burden fell on U.S. firms and consumers.

Suggested Citation

  • Mary Amiti & Christopher Flanagan & Sebastian Heise & David E. Weinstein, 2026. "Who Is Paying for the 2025 U.S. Tariffs?," Liberty Street Economics 20260212, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:102432
    DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260212
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    File URL: https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/who-is-paying-for-the-2025-u-s-tariffs/
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    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

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