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The real-time (in)significance of M2

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  • Jeffery D. Amato

Abstract

This paper examines the relationships between output, prices, interest rates, and M2 using data sets which were available in real time from 1973:1 to 1997:4. The purpose is threefold. First, the paper delineates a potential role for M2 in policymaking. Second, it provides a more accurate basis for interpreting historical policymaking. Third, it evaluates the cause and effect of the historical redefinitions of M2. The latter two objectives make it necessary to use data which was available to policymakers at the time decisions were made. In regard to the first objective, the approach is both novel and complementary to the existing literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffery D. Amato, 1998. "The real-time (in)significance of M2," Research Working Paper 98-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedkrw:98-05
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    File URL: http://www.kansascityfed.org/publicat/reswkpap/PDF/rwp98-05.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Dean Croushore & Tom Stark, 2003. "A Real-Time Data Set for Macroeconomists: Does the Data Vintage Matter?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 605-617, August.

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    Keywords

    Money supply ; Interest rates ; Monetary policy;

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