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Direct tests of index arbitrage models

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  • Robert Neal

Abstract

Previous tests of stock index arbitrage models have rejected the no-arbitrage constraint imposed by these models. This paper provides a detailed analysis of actual S&P 500 arbitrage trades and directly relates these trades to the predictions of index arbitrage models. An analysis of arbitrage trades suggests that (i) short sale rules are unlikely to restrict arbitrage, (ii) the opportunity cost of arbitrage funds exceeds the Treasury Bill rate, and (iii) the average price discrepancy captured by arbitrage trades is small. Tests of the models provide some support for a version of the arbitrage model that incorporates an early liquidation option. The ability of these models to explain arbitrage trades, however, is relatively low.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Neal, 1995. "Direct tests of index arbitrage models," Research Working Paper 95-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedkrw:95-03
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    Keywords

    Arbitrage; Stocks;

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