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False Premises, Failed Promises: BTC's Market Illusion and the Abandonment of Bitcoin's Design

Author

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  • Craig S. Wright

    (Department of Economics, University of Exeter)

Abstract

BTC, diverging fundamentally from the original Bitcoin protocol, has attained outsized market capitalisation despite abandoning Bitcoin's primary function as a scalable, traceable system for electronic cash. The Lightning Network, frequently misrepresented as a Layer 2 solution, is demonstrably a separate payment routing structure that never requires final settlement on-chain. This paper deconstructs the economic, technical, and ideological divergence of BTC from Bitcoin, critiques the architectural and empirical failure of Lightning, and examines the speculative mispricing driven by false narratives, branding confusion, and structural ignorance.

Suggested Citation

  • Craig S. Wright, 2025. "False Premises, Failed Promises: BTC's Market Illusion and the Abandonment of Bitcoin's Design," Discussion Papers 2502, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:exe:wpaper:2502
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    File URL: https://exetereconomics.github.io/RePEc/dpapers/DP2502.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    BTC; Bitcoin; Lightning Network; digital cash; scalability; protocol divergence; Layer 2; micropayments; transaction finality; network economics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • L86 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Information and Internet Services; Computer Software
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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