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Developing a model for the ex-ante evaluation of EU R&I policy impacts

Author

Listed:
  • Peter DRASCHEK

    (European Commission)

  • Erik Canton

    (European Commission)

  • Océane PEIFFER-SMADJA

    (European Commission)

Abstract

The evaluation of the European Union’s research and innovation (R&I) policies is crucial for understanding their effectiveness and guiding future policy decisions. This paper addresses the need for a robust model to assess the ex-ante impacts of EU R&I policies, particularly in the context of the Framework Programme (FP). We present a comprehensive model designed to evaluate the potential outcomes of EU R&I policies before their implementation. The model integrates various economic and innovation indicators, such as research outputs, patent applications, and economic growth, to provide a holistic assessment of policy impacts. By leveraging data from previous FPs and leveraging state-of-the-art econometric techniques, our model offers policymakers a tool to simulate different policy scenarios and assess their potential benefits and drawbacks..

Suggested Citation

  • Peter DRASCHEK & Erik Canton & Océane PEIFFER-SMADJA, 2025. "Developing a model for the ex-ante evaluation of EU R&I policy impacts," EU research and innovation paper series KI-01-25-093-EN-N, Directorate General for Research and Innovation (DG RTD) of the European Commission.
    • Handle: RePEc:eug:wpaper:ki-01-25-093-en-n
    DOI: 10.2777/4389511
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    File URL: https://research-and-innovation.ec.europa.eu/knowledge-publications-tools-and-data/publications/all-publications/radar-system-dynamics-model-analysing-long-term-impacts-ri-policy-competitive-sustainability_en
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General

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