IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eti/rpdpjp/26008.html

Population Decline and Regional Disappearance: Policy Prescriptions for Managing Smart Shrinkage - Story 6. The future of cities and regions under population decline - (Japanese)

Author

Listed:
  • Tomoya MORI

Abstract

This study presents the results of projections of the future spatial structure of Japanese cities under population decline, using the predictive model described in Story 5. Among the population decline scenarios in the National Institute of Population and Social Security Researchs 2023 projections, we adopt the low-fertility, medium-mortality scenario—currently considered the most realistic—and incorporate the concentration trend toward large cities and the dispersion trend within cities that has been observed over the past 50 years. We project the evolution of the city system through 2200, with a particular focus on changes in the geographic distribution of cities.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomoya MORI, 2026. "Population Decline and Regional Disappearance: Policy Prescriptions for Managing Smart Shrinkage - Story 6. The future of cities and regions under population decline - (Japanese)," Policy Discussion Papers (Japanese) 26008, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    • Handle: RePEc:eti:rpdpjp:26008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/pdp/26p008.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eti:rpdpjp:26008. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: TANIMOTO, Toko (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rietijp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.