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Economic, Social and Institutional Determinants of Internal Conflict in Fragile States

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  • Syed Muhammad All-e-Raza Rizvi

    (Université Clermont Auvergne)

  • Marie-Ange Véganzonès-Varoudakis

    (Université Clermont Auvergne)

Abstract

In this paper, we use fixed-effect Poisson regressions (FEPR) with robust standard errors and instrumental variables (IV) to study the economic, social, and institutional determinants of internal conflicts in 58 fragile states from 2004 to 2017. We show that effective institutions (measured by judicial efficiency) and higher incomes could help reduce conflict in fragile states. In contrast, trade reform does not seem to mitigate violence in these countries. It also appears that educational and democratic institutions can fuel conflict in some cases. These results imply that education and trade liberalization do not have the expected effects in fragile countries, which should first improve their social, economic, and institutional situation before benefiting from economic reform and education. This may also be the case for political reforms, as democratic experiences seem to lead to increased violence in some countries in our sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Muhammad All-e-Raza Rizvi & Marie-Ange Véganzonès-Varoudakis, 2022. "Economic, Social and Institutional Determinants of Internal Conflict in Fragile States," Working Papers 1538, Economic Research Forum, revised 20 Feb 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:1538
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