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Import demand for intermediate goods in Mexico: 1993-2018

Author

Listed:
  • José Antonio Romero Tellaeche

    (El Colegio de México)

  • Rodrigo Aliphat Rodríguez

    (UNAM)

Abstract

In this paper, we study the import of intermediate goods (MIG) for México, these imports represent 80% of total imports, and they are close related to exports and production for domestic demand. We first try to estimate a VEC model using MIG, exports, domestic demand, and real exchange rates but we find impossible to estimate directly due to problems of endogeneity between MIG, exports and domestic demand. We construct instrumental variables for exports and domestic demand. But then we face multicollinearity problems between the instrumental variables. Therefore, we estimate two separate VECs one for MIG for exports and another for MIG for domestic demand. We find minimal possibilities to increase local content for exports, but we find hope in the production for domestic demand.

Suggested Citation

  • José Antonio Romero Tellaeche & Rodrigo Aliphat Rodríguez, 2019. "Import demand for intermediate goods in Mexico: 1993-2018," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2019-05, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
  • Handle: RePEc:emx:ceedoc:2019-05
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    File URL: https://cee.colmex.mx/dts/2019/DT-2019-5.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VEC; imports; intermediate goods; Mexico;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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