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El impacto económico del cambio climático en Centroamérica, Panamá y la República Dominicana

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Abstract

Este documento analiza el impacto económico histórico y proyectado a 2050 del cambio climático en la subregión de Centroamérica, Panamá y República Dominicana (CAPARD). A partir de una revisión de literatura, se destaca la alta vulnerabilidad climática de la región, junto con su baja contribución a las emisiones globales. Utilizando una metodología econométrica basada en panel de datos con efectos fijos, se estima una función de daño que relaciona variaciones de la temperatura y de la precipitación con el crecimiento del PIB per cápita. Los resultados muestran una relación no lineal significativa entre temperatura y crecimiento económico, con un umbral óptimo de temperatura entre 16.5 °C y 21.5 °C, valores que ya han sido superados en la mayoría de los países analizados.

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  • -, 2025. "El impacto económico del cambio climático en Centroamérica, Panamá y la República Dominicana," Documentos de Proyectos 83118, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col022:83118
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    File URL: http://repositorio.cepal.org/handle/11362/83118
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