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The Role of Campaign War Chest in Congressional Careers

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  • Andrew Ching
  • Antonio Merlo

Abstract

The main goal of this paper is to investigate the role of campaign fund in congressional careers. To achieve this goal, we specify a dynamic model of career decisions of a member of Congress. In particular, we model how the amount of campaign funds raised affects the probability of winning elections, which in turn have influences on decisions to run for reelection, run for higher office or exit Congress. We estimate this model using a newly collected data set. Given the estimates of the structural model, we assess how limits on the amount of funds politicians can raise and then spend on election affect probabilities of winning elections, as well as their career decisions

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Ching & Antonio Merlo, 2004. "The Role of Campaign War Chest in Congressional Careers," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 739, Econometric Society.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecm:feam04:739
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Campaign War Chest; Congressional Careers; Dynamic Programming; Discrete Choice Model;

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism

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