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Monetary Policy and Capital Accumulation Processes :How did the FED react to the Transition Phases ?


  • Paolucci Frank


The present paper is related to the recent discussion about the efficiency of the Reserve Federal Bank on investment decisions. Our aim is not to propose an optimal policy rule but rather to appreciate and to understand the link between the monetary interventions of the FED and capital accumulation processes. Therefore, we propose to adopt a Smooth Transition Regression Model to take account of structural changes in capital stock for the sole equipment and computer goods. We also consider two sub-periods (1967-1981 and 1982-1997) that correspond to the policy changes of the Federal Reserve Bank occurring in the early eighties. We conclude to a strong heterogeneity of the exogenous variables between the sub-periods, and above all, to a modification of the effects of monetary policy during the transition phases. In fact, the different results over the two sub-periods could be explained by the instability of the relation linking the decisions of the FED to investment expenditur

Suggested Citation

  • Paolucci Frank, 2004. "Monetary Policy and Capital Accumulation Processes :How did the FED react to the Transition Phases ?," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 8, Econometric Society.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecm:ausm04:8

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    More about this item


    Smooth Transition Models; Monetary Policy; Investment behaviour;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy


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