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Conservative Traits and Managerial Forecasting Style

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  • Bormann, S.
  • Claassen, D.B.
  • Hofmann, C.
  • Schwaiger, Nina

Abstract

We investigate whether conservatism as a personality trait, measured by managers’ signatures, influences managers’ forecasting style. Building on upper echelons theory and psychology literature, we predict that conservative personality traits such as the resistance to change and the ensuing cautiousness in updating beliefs influence managers’ forecasts. Our findings suggest that conservative CFOs more likely select earnings as compared to revenues as the main KPI of the forecast, keep the same KPI across years, and issue specific forecasts. Finally, we provide some evidence that conservative CFOs issue more accurate forecasts.

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  • Bormann, S. & Claassen, D.B. & Hofmann, C. & Schwaiger, Nina, 2019. "Conservative Traits and Managerial Forecasting Style," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 157173, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    • Handle: RePEc:dar:wpaper:157173
    Note: for complete metadata visit http://tubiblio.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/157173/
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