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The Collapse and Implosion of Totalitarian Regimes: A Biophysical and Chemical Dynamics Perspective

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  • Heng-fu Zou

Abstract

This paper presents a unifed dynamical model of totalitarian regime collapse, integrating insights from biological systems theory and chemical reaction kinetics. The regime is modeled as a parasitic tumor-like bureaucracy feeding on societal resources and expanding through spatial diffusion and logistic growth. Simultaneously, ideological obedience is treated as a reversible chemical binding reaction between obedience and state ideology, destabilized by catalyzed dissent. Dissent acts as both a spatially diffusing immune response and a chemical inhibitor, inducing apoptosis in bureaucratic structures and degrading ideological control. By coupling these two models into a nonlinear PDE-ODE system, we reveal the endogenous pathways to regime collapse driven by resource exhaustion, dissent accumulation, and tipping-point dynamics. The resulting system exhibits bifurcations, hysteresis, irreversible collapse thresholds, and singular feedback loops. Historical collapses such as those of Nazi Germany, the Soviet Union, and Khmer Rouge Cambodia are interpreted through this framework, offering a general theory of totalitarian fragility and a mathematical foundetion or eary warning diagnastics.

Suggested Citation

  • Heng-fu Zou, 2025. "The Collapse and Implosion of Totalitarian Regimes: A Biophysical and Chemical Dynamics Perspective," CEMA Working Papers 771, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:cuf:wpaper:771
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