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Modelling Cyclical Asymmetry in A Production Series Using Treshold Autoregressive Models

Author

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  • Horst Kräger

    (Universität Mannheim)

Abstract

In recent years there is evidence in the literature that various time series like GNP or production may be nonlinear. In this paper the question is examined whether there are non-linearities in the net production index for the producing sector of the FRG. Three different non-linearity tests are applied on the stationary series and two exhibit clear nonlinearities. Therefore a SETAR-model was estimated and it was able to capture all the previous inherent non-linearities.

Suggested Citation

  • Horst Kräger, 1992. "Modelling Cyclical Asymmetry in A Production Series Using Treshold Autoregressive Models," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 1992046, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    • Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvre:1992046
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    File URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/40724005
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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