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Diminution des cotisations patronales à la Sécurité Sociale et création d’empois en Belgique

Listed author(s):
  • Bruno VAN der LINDEN

    (Université Catholique de Louvain)

Cet article analyse l'effet sur l'emploi d'une baisse des cotisations patronales à la Sécurité Sociale. Selon la version belge du modèle macrosectoriel HERMES, cet effet est assez faible, en particulier si on le compare à des résultats issus du modèle de déséquilibre conçu au sein du European Unemployment Program. L'article décrit le modèle HERMES et présente une simulation des effets de la baisse de cotisations patronales. Trois sources d'explication sont avancées pour expliquer le désaccord entre le modèle macrosectoriel HERMES et le modèle macroéconomique de déséquilibre : (1) le caractère keynésien prédominant (THERMES par opposition à l'approche de déséquilibre, (2) les équations d'exportation et (3) les effets de substitution entre le capital et le travail

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Paper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) in its series Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) with number 1991013.

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Length: 27
Date of creation: 01 Mar 1991
Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvre:1991013
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