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Real Exchange Rates Within and Between Currency Areas: How Far Away is EMU?

Author

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  • Neumann, Manfred J.M.
  • von Hagen, Jürgen

Abstract

The renewed quest for a European monetary union raises the question: Is Europe ready for a common currency? We compare the variability and persistence of real exchange rate fluctuations within the German monetary union and between Germany and eight European countries to assess the viability of a monetary union in Europe. The results suggest a `Two-Speed Europe'. A core union comprising Germany and her smaller neighbours is currently viable, but further convergence to reduce real exchange rate variability between these core countries and Denmark, France, Italy, and the United Kingdom is necessary. Alternatively, monetary union should be postponed until further adjustment has occurred. This period of waiting would neither require nor benefit much from further tightening of the current EMS.

Suggested Citation

  • Neumann, Manfred J.M. & von Hagen, Jürgen, 1992. "Real Exchange Rates Within and Between Currency Areas: How Far Away is EMU?," CEPR Discussion Papers 660, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:660
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Saman Majd & Stewart C. Myers, 1987. "Tax Asymmetries and Corporate Income Tax Reform," NBER Chapters,in: Taxes and Capital Formation, pages 93-96 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Schanbel, Jacques A & Roumi, Ebrahim, 1990. "A Contingent Claims Analysis of Partial Loss Offset Taxation and Risk-Taking," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 45(2), pages 304-320.
    3. Saman Majd & Stewart C. Myers, 1985. "Valuing the Government's Tax Claim on Risky Corporate Assets," NBER Working Papers 1553, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Auerbach, Alan, 1990. "The cost of capital and investment in developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 410, The World Bank.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Currency Union; Economic Integration; Exchange Rates;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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