IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cpr/ceprdp/21666.html

Navigating Geopolitical Risk: Evidence from U.S. Mutual Funds

Author

Listed:
  • Crosignani, Matteo
  • Han, Lina
  • Macchiavelli, Marco

Abstract

Firm-level geoeconomic risk can affect even broadly diversified mutual fund portfolios. We study U.S. export controls that restrict sales of cutting-edge technology to selected Chinese firms for national security reasons. The stock prices of affected domestic suppliers drop immediately after the policy introduction. Mutual funds holding these stocks experience increased volatility and lower returns. Fund managers respond by selling stocks of exporters to China, buying lottery-like stocks, and increasing portfolio concentration. While stock-picking and market-timing skills do not help, specialist and high-fee funds are better at navigating geoeconomic risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Crosignani, Matteo & Han, Lina & Macchiavelli, Marco, 2026. "Navigating Geopolitical Risk: Evidence from U.S. Mutual Funds," CEPR Discussion Papers 21666, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:21666
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cepr.org/publications/DP21666
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:21666. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CEPR (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://cepr.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.