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Skewness Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Currency Returns

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Junye
  • Sarno, Lucio
  • Zinna, Gabriele

Abstract

Using model-free skewness measures that exploit the asymmetry in semivariances and option data from the over-the-counter currency market, we find that buying currencies with a high skewness risk premium (SRP) and selling currencies with a low SRP generates high returns and Sharpe ratio. Asset pricing tests – which control for omitted variables and measurement errors – show that a SRP factor enters the currency pricing kernel and is central to the pricing of risks inherent in a broad currency cross-section of 60 portfolio excess returns. These results imply that skewness risk is a strong and priced source of currency risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Junye & Sarno, Lucio & Zinna, Gabriele, 2025. "Skewness Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Currency Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 20587, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:20587
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    File URL: https://cepr.org/publications/DP20587
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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