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The Long-Lasting Protection of a Defunct Industrial Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Miravete, Eugenio
  • Moral, Maria

Abstract

The Spanish industrial policy prohibited automobiles imports from 1939 to 1986, when Spain joined the European Union. Despite trading freely with other European countries ever since, Spaniards still show a strong preference for automobile brands with production facilities established in Spain during the autarkic period. We specify a multi-product oligopoly equilibrium model and jointly estimate demand and supply. This rich framework allows us to quantify the current tariff equivalence of these biased preferences induced by an industrial policy phased out decades ago. Our results show that domestic automakers enjoy today a sizable advantage equivalent to an 8.5% tariff, even thirty years after the industrial policy was phased out. This protection is not negligible when compared to the 10.3% import duty applied by the EU. The Spanish experience illustrates the potential benefits and pitfalls of the current European protective policy against Chinese imports.

Suggested Citation

  • Miravete, Eugenio & Moral, Maria, 2025. "The Long-Lasting Protection of a Defunct Industrial Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 20525, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:20525
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    File URL: https://cepr.org/publications/DP20525
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods
    • L62 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Automobiles; Other Transportation Equipment; Related Parts and Equipment

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