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Q-Learning and Algorithmic Market Making: Loss-free, Collusive, or Competitive Prices?

Author

Listed:
  • Guarino, Antonio
  • Jehiel, Philippe
  • Symons-Hicks, James

Abstract

We study whether Algorithmic Market Makers using Q-learning produce competitive or supra-competitive prices in a quote-driven asset market. We show, through simulations and analytically, that the result depends on the way the algorithm is set up. A basic Q-learning algorithm leads to loss-free prices and is, therefore, not fit for trade. Carefully choosing the exploration and learning parameters leads to less extreme prices, but still far away from the competitive ones. When we endow the algorithm with a basic understanding of the market and basic information about outstanding quotes, the Q-learning algorithms produce competitive prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Guarino, Antonio & Jehiel, Philippe & Symons-Hicks, James, 2025. "Q-Learning and Algorithmic Market Making: Loss-free, Collusive, or Competitive Prices?," CEPR Discussion Papers 20461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:20461
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    File URL: https://cepr.org/publications/DP20461
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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