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The Determinants of Local Housing Supply in England

Author

Listed:
  • Drayton, Elaine
  • Levell, Peter
  • Sturrock, David

Abstract

We estimate local housing supply elasticities for 325 local authorities and 6,788 census tract areas in England. We examine how housing supply responds to price changes across small areas and how this varies according to a rich set of geographic and policy constraints. Our central estimate for the average elasticity of relative local supply with respect to price across local authorities is 0.14 over a period of 25 years between 1996 and 2021. This is low compared to estimates from other countries. Elasticities are lower in areas with less land available for development, greater differences in elevation, higher historical population density and in areas where local planning authorities had a greater historic tendency to reject new developments. We also find that urban density and constraints on the amount of available land have stronger negative effects on the supply of larger properties than properties with fewer bedrooms.

Suggested Citation

  • Drayton, Elaine & Levell, Peter & Sturrock, David, 2024. "The Determinants of Local Housing Supply in England," CEPR Discussion Papers 19629, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:19629
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    File URL: https://cepr.org/publications/DP19629
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R38 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Government Policy
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General

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