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Volatility (Dis)Connect in International Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Croce, Mariano
  • Colacito, Ric
  • Liu, Yang
  • Shaliastovich, Ivan

Abstract

Lack of co-movement between consumption differentials and real exchange rates is a traditional indicator of a disconnect of foreign exchange markets from economic fundamentals. We present novel evidence for the (dis)connect between the volatilities, as opposed to the levels, of these variables. The volatility correlations are below one, but they are larger than the level correlations. In the cross-section of countries, the volatility disconnect weakens for countries with low amount of expected growth risk and high amount of volatility risk. We provide an explanation of our empirical findings based on international risk-sharing of both expected growth and volatility news shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Croce, Mariano & Colacito, Ric & Liu, Yang & Shaliastovich, Ivan, 2022. "Volatility (Dis)Connect in International Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 17101, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17101
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility risk; Foreign exchange disconnect; Risk sharing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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