Private information : an argument for a fixed exchange rate system
In a two-country model, the paper considers reputational equilibria for monetary policies in the case where the central banks have some private information. It is shown that a fixed exchange rate system may lead, in both countries, to lower inflation biases than a flexible exchange rate system. No exogenous costs (like "political costs") of leaving the fixed exchange rate system are required for such a result to hold. The reason is that private information makes a money supply rule more difficult to sustain through reputational forces than an exchange rate rule.
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- Barro, Robert J & Gordon, David B, 1983.
"A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model,"
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NBER Working Papers
1079, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"The advantage of tying one's hands : EMS discipline and Central Bank credibility,"
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- Canzoneri, Matthew B, 1985.
"Monetary Policy Games and the Role of Private Information,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 75(5), pages 1056-1070, December.
- Matthew B. Canzoneri, 1983. "Monetary policy games and the role of private information," International Finance Discussion Papers 249, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-491, June.
- Melitz, Jacques, 1988. "Monetary Discipline and Cooperation in the European Monetary System: A Synthesis," CEPR Discussion Papers 219, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Matthew B. Canzoneri & Dale W. Henderson, 1991. "Monetary Policy in Interdependent Economies: A Game-Theoretic Approach," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262031787, December.
- von Hagen, Jurgen, 1992. "Policy-Delegation and Fixed Exchange Rates," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 33(4), pages 849-870, November.
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