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Premature mortality and poverty measurement in an OLG economy

Author

Listed:
  • LEFEBVRE Mathieu

    (Université de Strasbourg)

  • PESTIEAU Pierre

    (Université de Liège and CORE)

  • PONTHIERE Gregory

    (Université Paris Est)

Abstract

Following Kanbur and Mukherjee (2007), a solution to the “missing poor” problem (i.e. selection bias in poverty measures due to income-differentiated mortality) consists in computing hypothetical poverty rates while assigning a fictitious income to the prematurely dead. However, in a dynamic general equilibrium economy, doing “as if” the prematurely dead were still alive is likely to affect wages, output and capital accumulation, with an uncertain effect on poverty. We develop a 3-period OLG model with income-differentiated mortality, and compare actual poverty rates with hypothetical poverty rates that would have prevailed if everyone faced the survival conditions of the top income class. Including the prematurely dead has an ambiguous impact on poverty, since it affects income distribution through capital dilution, composition effets and horizon effects. Our results are illustrated by quantifying the impact of income-differentiated mortality on poverty measures for France (1820-2010).

Suggested Citation

  • LEFEBVRE Mathieu & PESTIEAU Pierre & PONTHIERE Gregory, 2017. "Premature mortality and poverty measurement in an OLG economy," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2017016, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvco:2017016
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    Cited by:

    1. Mathieu Lefebvre & Pierre Pestieau & Gregory Ponthiere, 2024. "Missing Poor in the U.S," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 22(4), pages 865-891, December.
    2. Shiyu Li & Shuanglin Lin, 2024. "Social security reforms, capital accumulation, and welfare: A notional defined contribution system vs a modified PAYG system," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(1), pages 1-34, March.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty

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